Both sides hit him about the same
38.1% of the contact right-handers make against Arias is hit hard, against 58.8% of what left-handers make.
107 pitches to right-handed hitters, 100 to left-handed hitters.
When hitters connect off him, they hit it hard
Hitters average 94.4 mph off the bat against Arias, 1st percentile.
207 pitches in 2025. 1st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 769th in MLB.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his fastballs: a .479 expected average against them, against .359 on his breaking balls.
78 of his fastballs thrown.
One side of the plate does most of the damage against him
Right-handed hitters average 91.4 mph off the bat against Arias and left-handers 98.2.
21 tracked batted balls from right-handers, 17 from left-handers.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Arias's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 101.7 mph, against 92.9 off his slider.
59 and 96 of them thrown.
The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Arias projects a .424 average, 3rd percentile.
207 pitches in 2025. 3rd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 756th in MLB.
He fills the strike zone and makes hitters beat him
Arias lives in the strike zone: 51.2% of his pitches are in it, 91st percentile.
207 pitches in 2025. 91st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 74th in MLB.
Too much of the contact against him is loud
47.4% of the contact Arias gives up is hit hard, 15th percentile.
207 pitches in 2025. 15th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 662nd in MLB.
Runners on base do not change how he is hit
41.7% of the contact against Arias with a runner in scoring position is hit hard, against 50% with the bases empty.
70 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 137 with the bases empty.
He handles both hands about the same
Right-handed hitters project to a .402 average against Arias and left-handers to .451.
107 pitches to right-handed hitters, 100 to left-handed hitters.
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Arias averages 86.8 mph across his arsenal, 18th percentile in the league.
207 pitches in 2025. 18th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 636th in MLB.
His ball is straighter than it should be
Arias's stuff spins at 2,118 rpm, 19th percentile in the league.
207 pitches in 2025. 19th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 630th in MLB.
The shape of the contact off him says how he gets outs
23.7% of the contact against Arias is on the ground and 28.9% of it is in the air.
38 tracked batted balls allowed.
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The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
Both sides hit him about the same
38.1% of the contact right-handers make against Arias is hit hard, against 58.8% of what left-handers make.
107 pitches to right-handed hitters, 100 to left-handed hitters.
He handles both hands about the same
Right-handed hitters project to a .402 average against Arias and left-handers to .451.
107 pitches to right-handed hitters, 100 to left-handed hitters.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
When hitters connect off him, they hit it hard
Hitters average 94.4 mph off the bat against Arias, 1st percentile.
207 pitches in 2025. 1st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 769th in MLB.
The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Arias projects a .424 average, 3rd percentile.
207 pitches in 2025. 3rd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 756th in MLB.
Too much of the contact against him is loud
47.4% of the contact Arias gives up is hit hard, 15th percentile.
207 pitches in 2025. 15th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 662nd in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his fastballs: a .479 expected average against them, against .359 on his breaking balls.
78 of his fastballs thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One side of the plate does most of the damage against him
Right-handed hitters average 91.4 mph off the bat against Arias and left-handers 98.2.
21 tracked batted balls from right-handers, 17 from left-handers.
The shape of the contact off him says how he gets outs
23.7% of the contact against Arias is on the ground and 28.9% of it is in the air.
38 tracked batted balls allowed.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Arias's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 101.7 mph, against 92.9 off his slider.
59 and 96 of them thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He fills the strike zone and makes hitters beat him
Arias lives in the strike zone: 51.2% of his pitches are in it, 91st percentile.
207 pitches in 2025. 91st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 74th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
Runners on base do not change how he is hit
41.7% of the contact against Arias with a runner in scoring position is hit hard, against 50% with the bases empty.
70 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 137 with the bases empty.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He gets by without much velocity, and it costs him
Arias averages 86.8 mph across his arsenal, 18th percentile in the league.
207 pitches in 2025. 18th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 636th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball is straighter than it should be
Arias's stuff spins at 2,118 rpm, 19th percentile in the league.
207 pitches in 2025. 19th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2025, 630th in MLB.
Marlins
Career team 2025