When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Guerra throws a fastball 70.5% of the time, against 40.1% when he is ahead.
501 pitches behind in the count, 284 ahead.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Guerra's sinker moves 83.5 inches toward the first-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
491 thrown, averaging 92.9 mph.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Guerra goes to the splitter: 30.1% of his two-strike pitches, against 9.7% the rest of the time.
362 two-strike pitches in 2021.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Guerra's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 90.6 mph, against 77.2 off his slider.
252 and 160 of them thrown.
He cannot find the zone often enough
Guerra works off the plate, with only 40.8% of his pitches in the zone, 11th percentile.
1330 pitches in 2021. 11th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 712th in MLB.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Guerra's 4-seam fastball carries 16.7 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
252 thrown, averaging 92.2 mph.
He falls behind hitters far too often
Guerra throws a strike on the first pitch 48.9% of the time.
313 plate appearances started in 2021.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Guerra lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.17 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
1330 located pitches in 2021.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his fastballs: a .334 expected average against them, against .268 on his breaking balls.
753 of his fastballs thrown.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
14.7% of Guerra's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
196 of 1330 located pitches.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Guerra works with 5 pitches: Sinker, 4-Seam Fastball, Curveball and Splitter, and a little else. The sinker is 36.9% of everything he throws.
1330 classified pitches in 2021.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Guerra throws the 4-seam fastball 28.2% of the time against left-handers and 12.3% against right-handers.
774 pitches to right-handers, 556 to left-handers.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Guerra lands 48.7% of his fastballs in the zone and only 34.3% of his breaking balls.
753 of his fastballs, 370 of his breaking balls.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Guerra is weak: 86.7 mph off the bat on average, 74th percentile.
1330 pitches in 2021. 74th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 207th in MLB.
His ball is straighter than it should be
Guerra's stuff spins at 2,107 rpm, 26th percentile in the league.
1330 pitches in 2021. 26th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 595th in MLB.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
12.2 mph separates Guerra's sinker from his curveball, 92.9 against 80.7.
491 and 209 of them respectively.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 35.5% of the contact Guerra gives up is hit hard, 72nd percentile.
1330 pitches in 2021. 72nd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 226th in MLB.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Guerra's curveball spins at 2,568 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
209 thrown in 2021.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Guerra projects a .315 average, 69th percentile.
1330 pitches in 2021. 69th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 248th in MLB.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Guerra's sinker averages 92.9 mph, and has touched 96.4.
491 thrown, 36.9% of his pitches.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Guerra puts 48.7% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 41.9% when he is ahead.
501 located pitches behind, 284 ahead.
One pitch exists only to make the hitter think
Guerra has thrown 10 cutters this season, 0.8% of his pitches, at 89.1 mph: a look rather than a weapon.
1330 classified pitches in 2021.
Show more
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Guerra throws a fastball 70.5% of the time, against 40.1% when he is ahead.
501 pitches behind in the count, 284 ahead.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Guerra goes to the splitter: 30.1% of his two-strike pitches, against 9.7% the rest of the time.
362 two-strike pitches in 2021.
He falls behind hitters far too often
Guerra throws a strike on the first pitch 48.9% of the time.
313 plate appearances started in 2021.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Guerra puts 48.7% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 41.9% when he is ahead.
501 located pitches behind, 284 ahead.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Guerra's sinker moves 83.5 inches toward the first-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
491 thrown, averaging 92.9 mph.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Guerra's 4-seam fastball carries 16.7 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
252 thrown, averaging 92.2 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Guerra's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 90.6 mph, against 77.2 off his slider.
252 and 160 of them thrown.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Guerra works with 5 pitches: Sinker, 4-Seam Fastball, Curveball and Splitter, and a little else. The sinker is 36.9% of everything he throws.
1330 classified pitches in 2021.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Guerra throws the 4-seam fastball 28.2% of the time against left-handers and 12.3% against right-handers.
774 pitches to right-handers, 556 to left-handers.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
12.2 mph separates Guerra's sinker from his curveball, 92.9 against 80.7.
491 and 209 of them respectively.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Guerra's curveball spins at 2,568 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
209 thrown in 2021.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Guerra's sinker averages 92.9 mph, and has touched 96.4.
491 thrown, 36.9% of his pitches.
One pitch exists only to make the hitter think
Guerra has thrown 10 cutters this season, 0.8% of his pitches, at 89.1 mph: a look rather than a weapon.
1330 classified pitches in 2021.
Show more
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He cannot find the zone often enough
Guerra works off the plate, with only 40.8% of his pitches in the zone, 11th percentile.
1330 pitches in 2021. 11th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 712th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Guerra lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.17 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
1330 located pitches in 2021.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
14.7% of Guerra's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
196 of 1330 located pitches.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his fastballs: a .334 expected average against them, against .268 on his breaking balls.
753 of his fastballs thrown.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Guerra lands 48.7% of his fastballs in the zone and only 34.3% of his breaking balls.
753 of his fastballs, 370 of his breaking balls.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Guerra is weak: 86.7 mph off the bat on average, 74th percentile.
1330 pitches in 2021. 74th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 207th in MLB.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 35.5% of the contact Guerra gives up is hit hard, 72nd percentile.
1330 pitches in 2021. 72nd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 226th in MLB.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Guerra projects a .315 average, 69th percentile.
1330 pitches in 2021. 69th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 248th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball is straighter than it should be
Guerra's stuff spins at 2,107 rpm, 26th percentile in the league.
1330 pitches in 2021. 26th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 595th in MLB.
Brewers
Career team 2016–2019