One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Guerra's slider moves 19.2 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
50 thrown, averaging 87.9 mph.
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Guerra throws 41.8% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 51.1% with the bases empty.
67 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 88 with the bases empty.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Guerra releases the ball from over the top, about 77 degrees above horizontal and 0.5 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
155 tracked release points, averaging 6.6 feet off the ground.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Guerra's slider leaves the bat at 95.1 mph, against 87.1 off his 4-seam fastball.
50 and 70 of them thrown.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Guerra's 4-seam fastball carries 17.5 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
70 thrown, averaging 91.8 mph.
The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Guerra projects a .432 average, 2nd percentile.
155 pitches in 2021. 2nd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 785th in MLB.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Guerra goes to the curveball: 14.8% of his two-strike pitches, against 5.9% the rest of the time.
54 two-strike pitches in 2021.
When hitters connect off him, they hit it hard
Hitters average 91.8 mph off the bat against Guerra, 6th percentile.
155 pitches in 2021. 6th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 753rd in MLB.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Guerra's 4-seam fastball averages 91.8 mph, and has touched 96.9.
70 thrown, 45.2% of his pitches.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his fastballs: a .438 expected average against them, against .382 on his breaking balls.
84 of his fastballs thrown.
Too much of the contact against him is loud
50% of the contact Guerra gives up is hit hard, 8th percentile.
155 pitches in 2021. 8th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 739th in MLB.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Guerra works with 4 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Slider, Curveball and Sinker. The 4-seam fastball is 45.2% of everything he throws.
155 classified pitches in 2021.
He fills the strike zone and makes hitters beat him
Guerra lives in the strike zone: 47.1% of his pitches are in it, 70th percentile.
155 pitches in 2021. 70th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 238th in MLB.
His ball is straighter than it should be
Guerra's stuff spins at 2,089 rpm, 24th percentile in the league.
155 pitches in 2021. 24th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 613th in MLB.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Guerra puts 56.1% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 41.3% when he is ahead.
41 located pitches behind, 46 ahead.
He releases the ball about where everyone else does
Guerra releases the ball 6.1 feet down the mound, a shorter stride than most.
155 tracked pitches in 2021.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Guerra lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.37 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
155 located pitches in 2021.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Guerra throws the sinker 13.2% of the time against right-handers and 5.1% against left-handers.
76 pitches to right-handers, 79 to left-handers.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Guerra's slider moves 19.2 inches toward the third-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
50 thrown, averaging 87.9 mph.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Guerra's 4-seam fastball carries 17.5 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
70 thrown, averaging 91.8 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Guerra throws 41.8% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 51.1% with the bases empty.
67 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 88 with the bases empty.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Guerra releases the ball from over the top, about 77 degrees above horizontal and 0.5 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
155 tracked release points, averaging 6.6 feet off the ground.
He releases the ball about where everyone else does
Guerra releases the ball 6.1 feet down the mound, a shorter stride than most.
155 tracked pitches in 2021.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Guerra's slider leaves the bat at 95.1 mph, against 87.1 off his 4-seam fastball.
50 and 70 of them thrown.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Guerra's 4-seam fastball averages 91.8 mph, and has touched 96.9.
70 thrown, 45.2% of his pitches.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Guerra works with 4 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Slider, Curveball and Sinker. The 4-seam fastball is 45.2% of everything he throws.
155 classified pitches in 2021.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Guerra throws the sinker 13.2% of the time against right-handers and 5.1% against left-handers.
76 pitches to right-handers, 79 to left-handers.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
The contact he allows is the kind that finds grass
The quality of contact against Guerra projects a .432 average, 2nd percentile.
155 pitches in 2021. 2nd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 785th in MLB.
When hitters connect off him, they hit it hard
Hitters average 91.8 mph off the bat against Guerra, 6th percentile.
155 pitches in 2021. 6th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 753rd in MLB.
Too much of the contact against him is loud
50% of the contact Guerra gives up is hit hard, 8th percentile.
155 pitches in 2021. 8th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 739th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Guerra goes to the curveball: 14.8% of his two-strike pitches, against 5.9% the rest of the time.
54 two-strike pitches in 2021.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Guerra puts 56.1% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 41.3% when he is ahead.
41 located pitches behind, 46 ahead.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his fastballs: a .438 expected average against them, against .382 on his breaking balls.
84 of his fastballs thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He fills the strike zone and makes hitters beat him
Guerra lives in the strike zone: 47.1% of his pitches are in it, 70th percentile.
155 pitches in 2021. 70th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 238th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball is straighter than it should be
Guerra's stuff spins at 2,089 rpm, 24th percentile in the league.
155 pitches in 2021. 24th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 613th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Guerra lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.37 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
155 located pitches in 2021.