One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Winkler's sinker moves 106.9 inches toward the first-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
50 thrown, averaging 92.7 mph.
He cannot find the zone often enough
Winkler works off the plate, with only 33% of his pitches in the zone, 0th percentile.
785 pitches in 2021. 0th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 801st in MLB.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Winkler's curveball leaves the bat at 88.7 mph, against 81.0 off his sinker.
55 and 50 of them thrown.
He lives on one side of the plate
Winkler works in on right-handers: his average pitch lands 6.7 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
785 located pitches in 2021.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Winkler's 4-seam fastball carries 17.4 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
157 thrown, averaging 94.0 mph.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Winkler releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 27 degrees above horizontal and 1.6 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
785 tracked release points, averaging 5.2 feet off the ground.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Winkler throws a fastball 99.2% of the time, against 82% when he is ahead.
247 pitches behind in the count, 206 ahead.
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 24.8% of the contact Winkler gives up is hit hard, 97th percentile.
785 pitches in 2021. 97th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 23rd in MLB.
His ball moves more than the hitter expects it to
Winkler's stuff spins at 2,545 rpm, 94th percentile in the league.
785 pitches in 2021. 94th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 46th in MLB.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Winkler's cutter averages 91.2 mph, and has touched 94.3.
523 thrown, 66.6% of his pitches.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
12.9% of Winkler's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
101 of 785 located pitches.
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Winkler averages 91.2 mph across his arsenal, 80th percentile in the league.
785 pitches in 2021. 80th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 162nd in MLB.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Winkler is weak: 83.8 mph off the bat on average, 96th percentile.
785 pitches in 2021. 96th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 34th in MLB.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Winkler goes to the 4-seam fastball: 28% of his two-strike pitches, against 16.9% the rest of the time.
218 two-strike pitches in 2021.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Winkler works with 4 pitches: Cutter, 4-Seam Fastball, Curveball and Sinker. The cutter is 66.6% of everything he throws.
785 classified pitches in 2021.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Winkler lives up in the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.80 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
785 located pitches in 2021.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Winkler's curveball spins at 2,620 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
55 thrown in 2021.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his breaking balls: a .344 expected average against them, against .310 on his fastballs.
55 of his breaking balls thrown.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
11.6 mph separates Winkler's 4-seam fastball from his curveball, 94.0 against 82.4.
157 and 55 of them respectively.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Winkler projects a .312 average, 72nd percentile.
785 pitches in 2021. 72nd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 225th in MLB.
He falls behind hitters far too often
Winkler throws a strike on the first pitch 58.7% of the time.
189 plate appearances started in 2021.
He gets so far down the mound the ball arrives early
Winkler releases the ball 6.5 feet down the mound, so the ball arrives sooner than the radar gun suggests.
785 tracked pitches in 2021.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Winkler throws the cutter 70.5% of the time against right-handers and 61.4% against left-handers.
451 pitches to right-handers, 334 to left-handers.
Show more
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Winkler's sinker moves 106.9 inches toward the first-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
50 thrown, averaging 92.7 mph.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Winkler's 4-seam fastball carries 17.4 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
157 thrown, averaging 94.0 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He cannot find the zone often enough
Winkler works off the plate, with only 33% of his pitches in the zone, 0th percentile.
785 pitches in 2021. 0th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 801st in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Winkler's curveball leaves the bat at 88.7 mph, against 81.0 off his sinker.
55 and 50 of them thrown.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Winkler's cutter averages 91.2 mph, and has touched 94.3.
523 thrown, 66.6% of his pitches.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Winkler works with 4 pitches: Cutter, 4-Seam Fastball, Curveball and Sinker. The cutter is 66.6% of everything he throws.
785 classified pitches in 2021.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Winkler's curveball spins at 2,620 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
55 thrown in 2021.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
11.6 mph separates Winkler's 4-seam fastball from his curveball, 94.0 against 82.4.
157 and 55 of them respectively.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Winkler throws the cutter 70.5% of the time against right-handers and 61.4% against left-handers.
451 pitches to right-handers, 334 to left-handers.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He lives on one side of the plate
Winkler works in on right-handers: his average pitch lands 6.7 inches to that side of the middle of the plate.
785 located pitches in 2021.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
12.9% of Winkler's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
101 of 785 located pitches.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Winkler lives up in the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.80 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
785 located pitches in 2021.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Winkler releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 27 degrees above horizontal and 1.6 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
785 tracked release points, averaging 5.2 feet off the ground.
He gets so far down the mound the ball arrives early
Winkler releases the ball 6.5 feet down the mound, so the ball arrives sooner than the radar gun suggests.
785 tracked pitches in 2021.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Winkler throws a fastball 99.2% of the time, against 82% when he is ahead.
247 pitches behind in the count, 206 ahead.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Winkler goes to the 4-seam fastball: 28% of his two-strike pitches, against 16.9% the rest of the time.
218 two-strike pitches in 2021.
He falls behind hitters far too often
Winkler throws a strike on the first pitch 58.7% of the time.
189 plate appearances started in 2021.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
Almost nothing hit off him is hit well
Only 24.8% of the contact Winkler gives up is hit hard, 97th percentile.
785 pitches in 2021. 97th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 23rd in MLB.
Hitters cannot square him up, the contact is weak
Contact against Winkler is weak: 83.8 mph off the bat on average, 96th percentile.
785 pitches in 2021. 96th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 34th in MLB.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Winkler projects a .312 average, 72nd percentile.
785 pitches in 2021. 72nd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 225th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball moves more than the hitter expects it to
Winkler's stuff spins at 2,545 rpm, 94th percentile in the league.
785 pitches in 2021. 94th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 46th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Winkler averages 91.2 mph across his arsenal, 80th percentile in the league.
785 pitches in 2021. 80th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2021, 162nd in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his breaking balls: a .344 expected average against them, against .310 on his fastballs.
55 of his breaking balls thrown.
Braves
Career team 2015–2019