His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Abreu's sinker averages 97.4 mph, and has touched 100.2.
540 thrown, 51.6% of his pitches.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Abreu's changeup moves 120.3 inches toward the first-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
150 thrown, averaging 88.3 mph.
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Abreu averages 93.3 mph across his arsenal, 94th percentile in the league.
1046 pitches in 2023. 94th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2023, 49th in MLB.
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Abreu lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.08 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
1046 located pitches in 2023.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Abreu's 4-seam fastball carries 15.4 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
62 thrown, averaging 96.8 mph.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Abreu goes to the slider: 35% of his two-strike pitches, against 25.6% the rest of the time.
280 two-strike pitches in 2023.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Abreu throws the changeup 26.5% of the time against left-handers and 4.2% against right-handers.
571 pitches to right-handers, 475 to left-handers.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Abreu lands 50.2% of his fastballs in the zone and only 32.7% of his offspeed pitches.
602 of his fastballs, 150 of his offspeed pitches.
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Abreu puts 41.7% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 45.9% of his pitches to left-handers.
571 pitches to right-handed hitters, 475 to left-handed hitters.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Abreu works with 4 pitches: Sinker, Slider, Changeup and 4-Seam Fastball. The sinker is 51.6% of everything he throws.
1046 classified pitches in 2023.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Abreu throws a fastball 61.6% of the time, against 52.2% when he is ahead.
333 pitches behind in the count, 272 ahead.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Abreu projects a .310 average, 75th percentile.
1046 pitches in 2023. 75th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2023, 191st in MLB.
He cannot find the zone often enough
Abreu works off the plate, with only 43.6% of his pitches in the zone, 32nd percentile.
1046 pitches in 2023. 32nd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2023, 527th in MLB.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Abreu releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 43 degrees above horizontal and 1.4 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
1046 tracked release points, averaging 5.6 feet off the ground.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his fastballs: a .321 expected average against them, against .276 on his breaking balls.
602 of his fastballs thrown.
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Abreu throws 41.2% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 44.6% with the bases empty.
318 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 728 with the bases empty.
His ball is straighter than it should be
Abreu's stuff spins at 2,130 rpm, 28th percentile in the league.
1046 pitches in 2023. 28th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2023, 560th in MLB.
He falls behind hitters far too often
Abreu throws a strike on the first pitch 56.8% of the time.
266 plate appearances started in 2023.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Abreu's sinker leaves the bat at 90.1 mph, against 87.2 off his changeup.
540 and 150 of them thrown.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
18.3% of Abreu's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
191 of 1046 located pitches.
He gets so far down the mound the ball arrives early
Abreu releases the ball 6.6 feet down the mound, so the ball arrives sooner than the radar gun suggests.
1046 tracked pitches in 2023.
Too much of the contact against him is loud
42.3% of the contact Abreu gives up is hit hard, 33rd percentile.
1046 pitches in 2023. 33rd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2023, 516th in MLB.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
9.7 mph separates Abreu's sinker from his slider, 97.4 against 87.7.
540 and 294 of them respectively.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
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His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Abreu's sinker averages 97.4 mph, and has touched 100.2.
540 thrown, 51.6% of his pitches.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Abreu throws the changeup 26.5% of the time against left-handers and 4.2% against right-handers.
571 pitches to right-handers, 475 to left-handers.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Abreu works with 4 pitches: Sinker, Slider, Changeup and 4-Seam Fastball. The sinker is 51.6% of everything he throws.
1046 classified pitches in 2023.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Abreu's sinker leaves the bat at 90.1 mph, against 87.2 off his changeup.
540 and 150 of them thrown.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
9.7 mph separates Abreu's sinker from his slider, 97.4 against 87.7.
540 and 294 of them respectively.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Abreu's changeup moves 120.3 inches toward the first-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
150 thrown, averaging 88.3 mph.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Abreu's 4-seam fastball carries 15.4 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
62 thrown, averaging 96.8 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He throws about as hard as anybody in the league
Abreu averages 93.3 mph across his arsenal, 94th percentile in the league.
1046 pitches in 2023. 94th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2023, 49th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He works one part of the zone far more than the rest
Abreu lives at the bottom of the zone: his average pitch crosses at 2.08 feet, against a zone that runs 1.5 to 3.5.
1046 located pitches in 2023.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
18.3% of Abreu's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
191 of 1046 located pitches.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Abreu goes to the slider: 35% of his two-strike pitches, against 25.6% the rest of the time.
280 two-strike pitches in 2023.
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Abreu throws a fastball 61.6% of the time, against 52.2% when he is ahead.
333 pitches behind in the count, 272 ahead.
He falls behind hitters far too often
Abreu throws a strike on the first pitch 56.8% of the time.
266 plate appearances started in 2023.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Abreu lands 50.2% of his fastballs in the zone and only 32.7% of his offspeed pitches.
602 of his fastballs, 150 of his offspeed pitches.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his fastballs: a .321 expected average against them, against .276 on his breaking balls.
602 of his fastballs thrown.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches differently depending on which hand is up
Abreu puts 41.7% of his pitches to right-handers in the zone and 45.9% of his pitches to left-handers.
571 pitches to right-handed hitters, 475 to left-handed hitters.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
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The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Abreu projects a .310 average, 75th percentile.
1046 pitches in 2023. 75th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2023, 191st in MLB.
Too much of the contact against him is loud
42.3% of the contact Abreu gives up is hit hard, 33rd percentile.
1046 pitches in 2023. 33rd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2023, 516th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He cannot find the zone often enough
Abreu works off the plate, with only 43.6% of his pitches in the zone, 32nd percentile.
1046 pitches in 2023. 32nd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2023, 527th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Abreu releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 43 degrees above horizontal and 1.4 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
1046 tracked release points, averaging 5.6 feet off the ground.
He gets so far down the mound the ball arrives early
Abreu releases the ball 6.6 feet down the mound, so the ball arrives sooner than the radar gun suggests.
1046 tracked pitches in 2023.
The numbers behind these live in Matchups.
Take me there
He pitches around the zone once runners are on
Abreu throws 41.2% of his pitches in the zone with a runner in scoring position and 44.6% with the bases empty.
318 pitches with a runner in scoring position, 728 with the bases empty.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball is straighter than it should be
Abreu's stuff spins at 2,130 rpm, 28th percentile in the league.
1046 pitches in 2023. 28th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2023, 560th in MLB.