When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Oller throws a fastball 70.7% of the time, against 33.1% when he is ahead.
215 pitches behind in the count, 178 ahead.
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Oller's sinker moves 109.6 inches toward the first-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
67 thrown, averaging 93.4 mph.
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his offspeed pitches: a .380 expected average against them, against .270 on his breaking balls.
50 of his offspeed pitches thrown.
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Oller's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 95.2 mph, against 80.6 off his sinker.
298 and 67 of them thrown.
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Oller releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 25 degrees above horizontal and 2.6 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
710 tracked release points, averaging 5.7 feet off the ground.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Oller's 4-seam fastball carries 17.3 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
298 thrown, averaging 93.8 mph.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Oller goes to the slurve: 38.9% of his two-strike pitches, against 21.3% the rest of the time.
180 two-strike pitches in 2024.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Oller throws the slurve 35.2% of the time against right-handers and 16.9% against left-handers.
344 pitches to right-handers, 366 to left-handers.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Oller lands 46.6% of his fastballs in the zone and only 28% of his offspeed pitches.
365 of his fastballs, 50 of his offspeed pitches.
He cannot find the zone often enough
Oller works off the plate, with only 43.7% of his pitches in the zone, 28th percentile.
710 pitches in 2024. 28th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2024, 554th in MLB.
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
16.3% of Oller's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
116 of 710 located pitches.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Oller puts 54.9% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 33.7% when he is ahead.
215 located pitches behind, 178 ahead.
When hitters connect off him, they hit it hard
Hitters average 90.0 mph off the bat against Oller, 21st percentile.
710 pitches in 2024. 21st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2024, 610th in MLB.
His velocity drains away as the outing goes on
Oller's fastball averages 94.2 mph in his first 25 pitches of a start and 93.3 past his 75th.
108 early fastballs, 67 late ones.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Oller works with 5 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Slurve, Curveball and Sinker, and a little else. The 4-seam fastball is 42% of everything he throws.
710 classified pitches in 2024.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Oller projects a .300 average, 77th percentile.
710 pitches in 2024. 77th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2024, 177th in MLB.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
12.3 mph separates Oller's 4-seam fastball from his curveball, 93.8 against 81.5.
298 and 106 of them respectively.
His ball is straighter than it should be
Oller's stuff spins at 2,176 rpm, 33rd percentile in the league.
710 pitches in 2024. 33rd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2024, 518th in MLB.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Oller's 4-seam fastball averages 93.8 mph, and has touched 96.7.
298 thrown, 42% of his pitches.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Oller's slurve spins at 2,330 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
183 thrown in 2024.
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The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
When he falls behind, hitters know exactly what is coming
Behind in the count Oller throws a fastball 70.7% of the time, against 33.1% when he is ahead.
215 pitches behind in the count, 178 ahead.
This is the pitch he goes to when he needs the out
With two strikes Oller goes to the slurve: 38.9% of his two-strike pitches, against 21.3% the rest of the time.
180 two-strike pitches in 2024.
How much of the zone he uses depends on the count
Oller puts 54.9% of his pitches in the zone when he is behind and 33.7% when he is ahead.
215 located pitches behind, 178 ahead.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One pitch of his runs sideways more than almost anyone's
Oller's sinker moves 109.6 inches toward the first-base side, the biggest horizontal move in his arsenal.
67 thrown, averaging 93.4 mph.
One pitch of his moves in a way hitters rarely see
Oller's 4-seam fastball carries 17.3 inches of ride against a spinless ball, the biggest vertical move in his arsenal.
298 thrown, averaging 93.8 mph.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
One type of hitter does all the damage against him
Hitters do their damage on his offspeed pitches: a .380 expected average against them, against .270 on his breaking balls.
50 of his offspeed pitches thrown.
He throws strikes to one type of hitter and not the other
Oller lands 46.6% of his fastballs in the zone and only 28% of his offspeed pitches.
365 of his fastballs, 50 of his offspeed pitches.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
There is one pitch of his that keeps getting hit
Contact off Oller's 4-seam fastball leaves the bat at 95.2 mph, against 80.6 off his sinker.
298 and 67 of them thrown.
He saves one pitch for one side of the plate
Oller throws the slurve 35.2% of the time against right-handers and 16.9% against left-handers.
344 pitches to right-handers, 366 to left-handers.
His pitches move in ways that fit together
Oller works with 5 pitches: 4-Seam Fastball, Slurve, Curveball and Sinker, and a little else. The 4-seam fastball is 42% of everything he throws.
710 classified pitches in 2024.
The gap between his pitches is what makes them work
12.3 mph separates Oller's 4-seam fastball from his curveball, 93.8 against 81.5.
298 and 106 of them respectively.
His fastball is the pitch everything else is built on
Oller's 4-seam fastball averages 93.8 mph, and has touched 96.7.
298 thrown, 42% of his pitches.
One pitch of his spins more than almost anyone's
Oller's slurve spins at 2,330 rpm, the highest in his arsenal.
183 thrown in 2024.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
The angle he throws from is unusual, and hitters notice
Oller releases the ball from a low three-quarters slot, about 25 degrees above horizontal and 2.6 feet to the third-base side of the rubber.
710 tracked release points, averaging 5.7 feet off the ground.
His velocity drains away as the outing goes on
Oller's fastball averages 94.2 mph in his first 25 pitches of a start and 93.3 past his 75th.
108 early fastballs, 67 late ones.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He cannot find the zone often enough
Oller works off the plate, with only 43.7% of his pitches in the zone, 28th percentile.
710 pitches in 2024. 28th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2024, 554th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
He lives on the edges rather than over the middle
16.3% of Oller's pitches land in the middle third of the zone, well below what most pitchers give away.
116 of 710 located pitches.
The numbers behind these live in Spray Chart.
Take me there
When hitters connect off him, they hit it hard
Hitters average 90.0 mph off the bat against Oller, 21st percentile.
710 pitches in 2024. 21st percentile among qualified pitchers in 2024, 610th in MLB.
The contact he allows should not turn into many hits
The quality of contact against Oller projects a .300 average, 77th percentile.
710 pitches in 2024. 77th percentile among qualified pitchers in 2024, 177th in MLB.
The numbers behind these live in Pitch Data.
Take me there
His ball is straighter than it should be
Oller's stuff spins at 2,176 rpm, 33rd percentile in the league.
710 pitches in 2024. 33rd percentile among qualified pitchers in 2024, 518th in MLB.